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Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 30

Premier League - Gameweek 30

Sunday, 15 Mar 2026 • 14:00

Old Trafford (Sir Matt Busby Way, Old Trafford, England)

Manchester United

3 : 1

Aston Villa

Goals

Casemiro
1 : 0
53'
53'Casemiro
1 : 0
64'
1 : 1
Ross Barkley
1 : 1
Ross Barkley64'
Matheus Cunha
2 : 1
71'
71'Matheus Cunha
2 : 1
Benjamin Šeško
3 : 1
81'
81'Benjamin Šeško
3 : 1

Game Review

Manchester United secured a 3-1 victory over Aston Villa in their Premier League clash at Old Trafford, a result that aligns with pre-match expectations given United's recent form. The home side, who made two changes to their lineup with Diogo Dalot and Amad Diallo coming in for Noussair Mazraoui and Benjamin Šeško, dominated the proceedings, particularly in the second half. The match began with both teams testing each other's defenses, but it was Manchester United who broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute through Casemiro (GAP +3.7%), who capitalized on a well-placed cross to head the ball past Emiliano Martinez (GAP +2.9%). Aston Villa responded in the 64th minute when Ross Barkley (GAP -2.7%) found the back of the net, leveling the score and briefly shifting momentum. However, United regained control just seven minutes later when Matheus Cunha (GAP +2.2%) scored, restoring their lead. The introduction of Benjamin Šeško, who replaced an unavailable player due to international duty, proved pivotal as he sealed the victory with a goal in the 81st minute, showcasing his clinical finishing ability. Aston Villa, who made four changes to their starting lineup, including the inclusion of Ross Barkley and Lucas Digne, struggled to maintain consistency. The absence of key players like Youri Tielemans and John McGinn due to injuries was evident, impacting their midfield stability. The result sees Manchester United continue their strong run, maintaining their position in the upper echelons of the Premier League table. For Aston Villa, the defeat highlights the challenges they face in climbing the standings, particularly with their current injury woes. Post-match, the home team manager praised his squad's resilience and tactical execution, while Aston Villa's head coach acknowledged the need for improvement and adaptation as they look to bounce back in their next fixture.

Lineups

Manchester United

PosPlayer
GK
Senne Lammens
DEF
Luke Shaw
DEF
Harry Maguire
DEF
Diogo Dalot
DEF
Leny Yoro
MID
Casemiro
MID
Bruno Fernandes
MID
Kobbie Mainoo
FWD
Matheus Cunha
FWD
Amad Diallo
FWD
Bryan Mbeumo

Substitutes

75'Benjamin Šeško
for Bryan Mbeumo
90'Manuel Ugartefor Casemiro

Aston Villa

PosPlayer
GK
Emiliano Martinez
DEF
Tyrone Mings
DEF
Lucas Digne
DEF
Ezri Konsa
DEF
Lamare Bogarde
MID
Ross Barkley
MID
John McGinn
MID
Amadou Onana
FWD
Emiliano Buendia
FWD
Ollie Watkins
FWD
Morgan Rogers

Substitutes

60'Tammy Abrahamfor Ollie Watkins
61'Leon Baileyfor John McGinn
82'Ian Maatsenfor Lucas Digne
82'Douglas Luizfor Ross Barkley
86'Andrés Garcíafor Emiliano Buendia
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
3Manchester United3015965441+1354
D
W
W
L
W
4Aston Villa3015694037+351
W
D
L
L
L

Last Games

Manchester United

@Newcastle United
1 - 2
vsCrystal Palace
2 - 1
@Everton
1 - 0
@West Ham United
1 - 1
vsTottenham Hotspur
2 - 0

Aston Villa

vsChelsea
1 - 4
@Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 2
vsLeeds United
1 - 1
vsBrighton and Hove Albion
1 - 0
@Bournemouth
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

15 Mar 2026
Manchester United3 - 1Aston Villa
15 Mar 2026Manchester United
3 - 1
Aston Villa
21 Dec 2025
Aston Villa2 - 1Manchester United
21 Dec 2025Aston Villa
2 - 1
Manchester United
25 May 2025
Manchester United2 - 0Aston Villa
25 May 2025Manchester United
2 - 0
Aston Villa
06 Oct 2024
Aston Villa0 - 0Manchester United
06 Oct 2024Aston Villa
0 - 0
Manchester United
11 Feb 2024
Aston Villa1 - 2Manchester United
11 Feb 2024Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester United

Premier League

Gameweek 30

14 Mar • 15:00
Sunderland
Brighton and Hove Albion
0 - 1
14 Mar • 15:00
Burnley
Bournemouth
0 - 0
14 Mar • 17:30
Arsenal
Everton
2 - 0
14 Mar • 17:30
Chelsea
Newcastle United
0 - 1
14 Mar • 20:00
West Ham United
Manchester City
1 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
Manchester United
Aston Villa
3 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
0 - 0
15 Mar • 14:00
Crystal Palace
Leeds United
0 - 0
15 Mar • 16:30
Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 1
16 Mar • 20:00
Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 2

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.